Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1546
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1546 · DTW → BWI
departs 10:15 AM ET · arrives 11:47 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.64286 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
Other factors
↑
10am departures from DTW are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.79 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.