Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1566 · PHX → DTW
departs 11:04 PM MT · arrives 5:46 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.2d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
11pm departures from PHX are usually not late
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.