Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1577 · ATL → MEM
departs 9:49 PM ET · arrives 10:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at MEM that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,633 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.