Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1592 · ATL → BWI
departs 7:35 AM ET · arrives 9:24 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.