Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1598
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 1598 · SFO → LAX
departs 7:00 AM PT · arrives 8:30 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 11%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from SFO are usually not late
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.