Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1695
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1695 · IAD → ATL
departs 5:46 PM ET · arrives 7:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.