Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1857
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 1857 · DTW → SNA
departs 9:25 AM ET · arrives 11:05 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
29%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at SNA that day
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.83 in
SNA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.