Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2009 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2009 · ATL → SAT

departs 1:45 PM ET · arrives 3:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.44 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2009 · ATL → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?