Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2026
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2026 · ATL → RDU
departs 1:05 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.