Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2055
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 2055 · SEA → ORD
departs 7:20 AM PT · arrives 1:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 16%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 14%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.