Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2086
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2086 · ATL → DSM
departs 4:37 PM ET · arrives 5:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DSM at that hour are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
DSM (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.