Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2093 · JFK → TPA
departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 5:39 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.