Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2136 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2136 · ATL → SJC

departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into SJC at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2136 · ATL → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?