Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2214
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 2214 · SLC → BNA
departs 9:25 AM MT · arrives 1:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 12%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 9%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±0 pts
−21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −21 pts in 24h
−21 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.