Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2241 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2241 · ATL → TLH

departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 8:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±7 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TLH?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

TLH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2241 · ATL → TLH

Odds over time

How late will it get to TLH?