Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2259
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2259 · MCO → AUS
departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 2:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.7 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.