Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2276 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2276 · ATL → JAX

departs 10:54 PM ET · arrives 12:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 51h before departure

Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAX?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into JAX at that hour are often late

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

JAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2276 · ATL → JAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAX?