Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2312 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2312 · ATL → EWR

departs 12:02 PM ET · arrives 2:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±5 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

EWR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2312 · ATL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?