Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2316
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2316 · DTW → BNA
departs 4:01 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
4pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,633 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.