Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2343
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2343 · JFK → DTW
departs 12:59 PM ET · arrives 3:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.05 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 28 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 1.75 mi
Precip 1.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.