Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2381 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2381 · HOU → ATL

departs 5:17 PM CT · arrives 8:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.18 in

ATL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2381 · HOU → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?