Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
DL 2396 · PBI → LGA
departs 3:20 PM ET · arrives 6:22 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 35%
Fri 10/9 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.