Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2417 · ATL → MDW
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 11:56 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.