Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2458 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2458 · DTW → SAT

departs 1:41 PM ET · arrives 3:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±6 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ SAT is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.68 in

SAT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2458 · DTW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?