Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2465 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2465 · FLL → LGA

departs 11:29 AM ET · arrives 2:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 54h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from FLL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ FLL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.12 in

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2465 · FLL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?