Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2469
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2469 · CMH → ATL
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 5%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 4%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 4%
Thu 10/8 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.