Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2512 · SEA → LAX

departs 9:46 PM PT · arrives 12:33 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2512 · SEA → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?