Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2520
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2520 · LGA → MCO
departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 6:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
3pm departures from LGA are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LGA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.