Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2530 · SAN → SEA
departs 7:03 AM PT · arrives 10:05 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.