Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2559
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2559 · RSW → DTW
departs 5:49 PM ET · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 3.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.