Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2573 · EWR → DTW

departs 4:50 PM ET · arrives 6:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±2 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3.66667 mi Precip0.59 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2573 · EWR → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?