Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2577 · EWR → DTW
departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 2:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 1,200 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 2.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
1pm departures from EWR are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EWR (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 1.79 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.