Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2587 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2587 · DTW → TPA

departs 10:15 AM ET · arrives 12:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day

↑ Other factors

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into TPA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.68 in

TPA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2587 · DTW → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?