Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2748
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
DL 2748 · BNA → LGA
departs 4:50 PM CT · arrives 8:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 69% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.