Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2775
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2775 · MCO → JFK
departs 3:22 PM ET · arrives 6:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+30 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +30 pts in 24h
+30 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.