Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2786
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2786 · CMH → ATL
departs 8:08 PM ET · arrives 10:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 14%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from CMH are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.35 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.