Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2796 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2796 · SLC → DFW

departs 5:40 PM MT · arrives 9:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±5 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.81 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2796 · SLC → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?