Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2798 · SLC → DFW
departs 7:55 AM MT · arrives 11:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 33%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 7%
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−29 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −29 pts in 24h
−29 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.