Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2801 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2801 · LGA → BOS

departs 9:59 PM ET · arrives 11:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 48% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2801 · LGA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?