Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2824
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2824 · MCO → CVG
departs 7:18 PM ET · arrives 9:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 17%
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.