Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2826 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2826 · DTW → MCI

departs 8:40 AM ET · arrives 9:44 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.68 in

MCI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility8.33333 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2826 · DTW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?