Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2905 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

DL 2905 · LAS → SEA

departs 1:31 PM PT · arrives 4:16 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ 1pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2905 · LAS → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?