Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2917
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2917 · ORD → LGA
departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 1:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 30%
Thu 10/8 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±3 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
LGA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.