Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
DL 2968 · DTW → PHL
departs 7:05 AM ET · arrives 8:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.89 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.