Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2968
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2968 · PHL → DTW
departs 9:46 AM ET · arrives 11:31 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 6%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.64286 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1.64286 mi Precip 0.96 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.