Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2976
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2976 · AUS → ATL
departs 10:35 AM CT · arrives 1:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.42 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.