Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2985 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 2985 · ORD → LGA

departs 11:30 AM CT · arrives 3:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±6 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,733 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2985 · ORD → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?