Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3183
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
DL 3183 · JAN → ATL
departs 7:55 AM CT · arrives 10:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 10%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 5%
Thu 10/8 4%
Fri 10/9 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave JAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↓
7am departures from JAN are usually not late
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
JAN (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.