Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 381 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 381 · SFO → AUS

departs 9:49 AM PT · arrives 3:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.85 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 381 · SFO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?