Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 418 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 418 · LAX → OGG

departs 4:55 PM PT · arrives 7:34 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 418 · LAX → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?